Mortgage rates had quite the party π throughout June, dropping lower and making things more attractive for homebuyers π and those looking to refinance πΈ. But just like every good party, this one came to an end when some stronger-than-expected economic data crashed the scene π.
When the economy looks strong πͺ, mortgage rates tend to go up — and that’s exactly what happened. Rates jumped π and stayed a bit elevated through early this week. But after that? Not much changed. Things mostly stayed flat ➖.
π€ Why the Stall? No Big News This Week
Mortgage rates are heavily influenced by the bond market π΅, which often reacts to key economic data π. But this week, there wasn’t much of that. With no major reports to stir things up, rates just kind of hovered π€.
There were some minor moves from things like trade news π°, Federal Reserve comments π¦, and government bond sales π§Ύ, but nothing major. By the time the week wrapped up, rates were pretty much the same as they were on Tuesday π .
π₯ What’s Next? Watch the Inflation Report
Next week could bring more action ⚡. On Tuesday, the government releases the Consumer Price Index (CPI) — a key report that shows whether inflation is heating up or cooling down π‘️.
Why does that matter? Because inflation is like kryptonite 𧨠for bonds — and when bonds suffer, mortgage rates usually go up π. Also, if inflation starts rising because of new tariffs or supply chain issues ππ¦, it could keep the Federal Reserve from cutting rates like many hope they will ✂️.
Here’s the big takeaway:
If inflation stays low π§ in next week’s report, expect mortgage rates to fall ⬇️. That’s because investors will start betting on rate cuts from the Fed sooner rather than later.
If inflation jumps higher πΊ, mortgage rates could spike again.
✅ The Bottom Line
Right now, mortgage rates are taking a breather π, but that could change quickly. Tuesday’s inflation data has the power to shake things up πͺ️. Whether you’re thinking of buying a home π , refinancing π°, or just keeping an eye on the market π — next week will be one to watch π.
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